Robnosticator's 2007 Top 10 Worst ATS College Football Prediction
Posted by ~Ray @ 2007-10-28 11:08:41
Last year I released myand as I reported earlier this month the. With the official impel off of College Football coming this week its time to do it again. Remember this is my prediction of how they will do ATS. Higher rated teams tend to do worse. So take no offense; it's sort of like a back-handed compliment.
10.) Hawaii - It's 10:00 p m. You are drunk and you just watched the last piece of action you had placed on a PAC-10 team get blown up in garbage time. What do you do? Play on Hawaii!!!! The late night Hawaii bet has been known to save a Saturday more than once and last year the Rainbow Warriors were 8-2-1 ATS. The bookmakers will shave points this year and get a lot of bettors with a massive hangover.
9.)Texas A & M- The Aggies were 8-2 measure year and left bettors with a great comprehend in their month when the not only covered but defeat Texas on the road as 14 inform dog. Despite last years success the Aggies are not in the Elite rankings yet and bettors should remember that they failed to cover and almost lost to Army as a 28 point favorite.
8.)Brigham Young- BYU was an impressive 9-2-1 ATS measure year and throttled Oregon in the Las Vegas roll measure year. Ya think the linesmakers noticed?
7.)Rutgers- Every year there is a Cinderella Story and measure year it was Rutgers. 10-2 straight up is more memorable than 6-3-1 ATS. It takes years for a program to turnaround and my anticipate is that Rutgers rep has improved more than their talent. Be careful and remember what happened to Cinderella at midnight.
6.)Virginia Tech- I have always liked Frank Beamer and the Hokies. They have been a solid team year in and year out and tend to cover the number. You can never command out their special teams which consistently makes compete but. I got to accept the days off them being under-valued are over.
5.)Oklahoma- Yes they lost to the other Cinderella story- Boise State- in the Fiesta Bowl but rememeber they were comfort 8-3-1 ATS. .500 is were I see them against the man come December.
4.)Wisconsin- The Badgers were an incredible 11-1 SU measure year and 8-2-1 against the spread. This year they appear in the Top 25 AP survey and look set for a legitmate run at the BCS. Their first bet is against Washington express and already they are set as a 14 inform favorite. I will be at that game and channel my choose later this week but. 14 points seems awfully tempting.
3.)Louisville- The Cards have been solid the last couple of year and bettors and college football fans know that they are a contender for the BCS and that they can put up some numbers. The books will be pricing Louisville appropriately and sharps who watch the lines can probably find some good challenge betting against them.
2.)Michigan- Cover of Sports Illustrated; be 5 in the AP survey by me; and 7-4-1 ATS measure year. The signs are all there folks; the Wolverines are going to make someone very wealthy.. and they are the ones that make the lie (FWIW.. I said they would do well ATS last year)
1.)Ohio State- Classic. OSU made the enumerate last year and was one of only 3 teams in the survey that had a winning record. Over the last two years the Buckeys are an incredible 17-6 ATS (73.9%). That has to be one of the beat record in football and in statistics there is a concept called "reversion to the mean". I've got to accept the bookmakers have had it with sending money to Ohio and I predicted sub.500 performance against the spread for the Buckeyes in 2007
Notre Dame- The Irish were my number two choose last year and finished with a losing record ATS. With Brady Quinn gone change surface the most faithful have already begun writing of the Irish. I evaluate you may be in for some surprises.
Florida- Despite winning the National Championship I don't evaluate that the Gators are getting the consider thet be. Mix in my evidence that the SEC is over-rated and garnish it with the fact that they went 3-8 ATS measure year; and I guess some folks might get lucky betting Florida.
Miami- The bigger they are the harder they fall. The Hurricanes have killed inform move players the last two years. Sentiment is so bad they did not even make it in the AP poll pre-season Top-25. This is the team to watch. Yes they undergo had problems but desire other great programs they don't build.... they reload.[ADVERTHERE]Related article:
http://sedgecourtjournalfootball.blogspot.com/2007/08/robnosticators-2007-top-10-worst-ats.html
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