As expected a solid weekend of college football. Upsets. Emerging powers. Reigning kings re-emerging. And a good amount of overtime! This week's Modus Rankings differ from the BCS by about the same margin as last week but there are two interesting items of note in the Modus Rankings:
The Modus algorithm has Kansas ahead of Missouri and Arizona State ahead of USC. This is something I'll be focused on solving in the algo tweaks this offseason.
Hawaii is number 1 because they are the only undefeated team left. The question - does the Modus Rankings overweight win percentage or is Hawaii being punished by the pollsters in the BCS? The BCS has Hawaii at #12 while the computers have Hawaii at #14. (Boise express appears to have the same cause)
The following are the statistics from this past weekend's Modus Rankings predictions and this weeks rankings (parentheses denotes statistic from last week).
Modus Rankings Prediction Success Rate: 73% (83%)
Modus Rankings vs. BCS Top 25: -0.44 (0.00)
Modus Rankings vs. BCS Top 10: -2.40 (-2.20)
The following are this weeks Top 25 Modus College Football Rankings plus teams that fell out of the the top 25:
Posted by matt mcmahon at
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Related article:
http://blog.marinmodus.com/2007/11/modus-college-football-rankings_25.html
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